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The disputes over the price of water, who owns those rocks,
the site of the immigration and customs post, how to develop
Malayan Railway's land here, the proposed bridge and the CPF
monies of West Malaysians are not easy to resolve.
Both Malaysia and Singapore believe that they are right because
there are principles of law, good neighbourliness, sovereignty
and so on at stake.
But whatever the complexities, third parties are not beneficiaries
of these disputes.
But there is one issue where both countries are, in the
jargon, "not optimising their returns", while third
parties are the main beneficiaries - I am referring to the
rivalry between Singapore and Malaysia over port facilities
in the region.
Within three years of its opening, the Port of Tanjung Pelepas
(PTP) won over two of PSA Corporation's biggest users, Maersk
and Evergreen - with Maersk taking a stake in PTP.
These two shipping lines accounted for about 17 per cent
of PSA's container throughput.
Privately-owned with strong government links, PTP has the
potential to seriously challenge Singapore's historical position
as the region's premier transhipment hub, because although
it can handle only about five TEUs (20-ft equivalent units),
PTP has, in the long-term, enough land to handle 75 million
TEUs annually.
PSA, Singapore's dominant port operator, has, by comparison,
a capacity of about 20 million TEUs annually but can grow
this to 40 million TEUs only.
The constraint is the lack of space.
Both sides are right. Malaysia is right in wanting to capture
more of the value of its exports. It has a deficit on services.
Singapore is right in wanting to remain the premier transshipment
centre in this region.
By one measure, the port contributes five per cent to Singapore's
Gross Domestic Product.
In theory, both sides could win from this port rivalry. But
it hasn't happened. At present, both are losers.
Singapore has had to cut rates and give other concessions
to prevent more defections, while PTP has had to spend more
money to develop its facilities to optimise revenue.
The winners are the shipping lines. Maersk and Evergreen
got great deals to switch to PTP while those that remained
with PSA have benefited from PSA's response to PTP's actions.
An almost similar situation once arose in Europe.
The Port of Rotterdam in Holland was concerned that Germany
would further develop its port facilities, thereby affecting
Rotterdam's transshipment business to and from Germany.
A deal was struck giving the Germans a 20 per cent stake
in the port.
This gave the Germans an incentive to continue using Rotterdam,
instead of building rival facilities.
But with so many unresolved issues between the two countries,
giving a stake in PSA to Malaysia is a non-starter. Malaysians
would suspect being given a lemon, while Singaporeans would
be indignant at giving anything to Malaysia.
But cash for use may be different.
Singapore and Malaysia may want to explore the possibility
of Singapore paying its neighbour a fee based on the value
or volume of Malaysian exports that pass through Singapore's
ports.
In return, Malaysia could agree to freeze or put a cap on
the development of its ports.
It wouldn't be cheap for Singapore, but it would be cheaper
than having to match, or better, PTP's rates.
It would also allow the ports here to increase their charges
to pre-PTP levels.
But hasn't Malaysia gone too far ahead in developing its
port infrastructure to want to pull back?
Conventional wisdom may be wrong.
Despite denials, rumours persist that the person behind PTP
is talking to Temasek Holdings on some kind of port tie-up.
After all, he has other projects that need funding.
The Malaysian government is reviewing infrastructure spending
and some projects have already been postponed.
It may be receptive to some kind of deal that increases the
revenue from exports.
Isn't it satisfying to get paid for not spending money and
doing nothing, especially if Singapore is paying?
Sure, cutting a deal along the lines suggested is going to
be complex, contentious and time-consuming.
Think of the role of PTP, how to calculate the fee or ensure
the other side doesn't cheat, and so on.
But think of the rewards. Both sides can "optimise revenue",
with Malaysia also being able to cut back on infrastructure
spending.
And for Singapore such a deal can serve as a model for dealing
with Indonesian exports.
To end, let me misquote a character from the Matrix films:
"Is it not something worth striving for?"
Adrian Tan is a freelance financial writer.
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