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Analysis »

What lies ahead for Singapore with third generation leadership?

Producer: Yvonne Gomez
First broadcast: 14 January 04, Radio Singapore International

What will the political landscape will be like in Singapore when the third generation leadership under Deputy Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong takes over?

This was one of the issues discussed at the annual Singapore Perspectives Conference organized by the Institute of Policy Studies in Singapore.

Singapore's Prime Minister Goh Chok Tong said last year, that he would hand
over power to Deputy Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong when the economy
recovers and no time frame was given for this.

It is against the backdrop of an uncertain global environment that DPM Lee is expected to assume leadership. So what will his leadership style be like?

Dr Wang Kai Yuen, Member of Parliament for Bukit Timah Constituency says, "DPM Lee is a man who will follow no man's shadows. He has a good grasp of
the issues and also understands the complexities between policy choices. He is brilliant and very decisive. He is also hands on."

However, as the son of Senior Minister Lee Kuan Yew, expectations of him
are likely to be high, as Sylvia Lim, Chairman of the opposition Worker's
Party, pointed out.

SL: Being his father's son, I think he would face some additional pressures to prove himself and his abilities. So he's got his job cut out for him, I would say.

On the things that she feels will not change with the 3rd generation, Sylvia alluded to a speech made last year by Minister of State for National Development, Dr Vivian Balakrishnan.

SL: What he said was that the PAP values must not change. If they change, they will lose the right to govern Singapore, or something like this. And apparently these values were vetted by the CC of the party and by SM Lee himself. Second point of what will not change, as mentioned earlier, co-opting potential critics and we say it's for self-preservation. The wariness of non-politician detractors, I call them, I think will also continue. Prime Minister Goh did say, some years ago, that if they sensed that any person or group is political opposition in disguise, the PAP will not hesitate to crack down hard on them. I think this is where we find that some of the non-government organisations have some discomfort, because they may or may not be under the PAP umbrella, and when they try to move their agenda forward, sometimes they bump into an OB-marker.

Sylvia also spoke on the things she feels will or may change with the third generation leadsership.

SL: PM Goh already started this discussion about acceptance of diverse lifestyle choices. Apparently, we are very open now to the gay community, and also at the last general election, the PAP fielded single candidates, which was considered a breakthrough. In the future, perhaps, we'll see some divorcés running on the PAP ticket, perhaps? Besides this, of course, we see that there is a commitment to involve the private sector more, in policy deliberations, because the DPM says that the PAP does not have a monopoly on ideas in this complex, global environment. But I would put a very big caveat here, to say that the involvement of "outsiders", I would call it, would be rather through co-option than competition. So we expect many other committees, like the Economic Restructuring Committee, or Remaking Singapore Committee - things where the PAP is still leading from the front.

And will there be a change in the representation of women in Singapore politics? Will we see more women in the political arena under the 3rd generation leadership?

Professor Tommy Koh, Director of the Institute of Policy Studies, addressed
this concern.

TK: I want to say, as a member of the male species, I'm very proud of Singapore women, and I think we're making progress. Until a few years ago, there was no permanent secretary in the civil service, who was a woman. Now
we have two, Lim Soon Hoon, Yong Ying-I. And I'm confident that in a few years, the glass ceiling in the PAP against women in the Cabinet, will be broken and we'll have more than one woman in the PAP Cabinet.

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