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Analysis »

Indonesia's Presidential candidates gear up for election

Producer: Felix Tan
First broadcast: 31 May 04, Radio Singapore International

Presidential candidates in Indonesia are gearing up for feisty campaigning ahead of the July Presidential election.

Contesting the election will be incumbent President Megawati Sukarnoputri; former security chief Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, and former armed forces chief General Wiranto from the Golkar party.

While opinion polls shows that Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono is running ahead of his rivals, General Wiranto's recent effort to make peace with East Timor's President Xanana Gusmao has drawn attention.

To what extent does General Wiranto's candidacy signal a return to the Suharto-era political environment?

Felix Tan put this question to Professor Arief Budiman (AB), of Melbourne University in Australia:

AB: No, I do not think that this will be a comeback to the Suharto-era. If you mean the military will come back again to rule Indonesia as Suharto did. But for sure that Wiranto seems to be a professional leader that try to come back and he has relatively pretty successful for his purpose.

Now, given his track record so far, how will the majority of Indonesians view him as a potential leader?

AB: Well, he has Golkar on his back and Golkar has a lot of professional politicians who work across Indonesia. So, I think he will have a substantial vote even if he may not be winning the election. But his support and because Wiranto works with a political machine that is professional and so I would not be surprise if Wiranto will be one of the most serious candidates in the 2004 election.

Now there have been reports that say that Wiranto has suggested the death penalty for anyone who is found guilty of corruption charges. But do you think that this is a bit too harsh?

AB: No, I think that for an election campaign, this will be a good point to make - whether it will be carried, that is another problem because Indonesia is very good in making statements, but the implementation is very far lacking behind. Let s hope that Wiranto does not hesitate to make that statement, but then Indonesia will forgive him if that statement is not implemented later on.

We know that Wiranto has the military backing as well he being a former General. Now, do you think that if Wiranto becomes the President will he be using the military as one of the means to curb corruption or even freedom for that matter - just to uphold the law?

AB: I think in terms of corruption, he may do that because Wiranto will use anything to enhance his popularity and his acceptance amongst the people. But I think it is not the time anymore to curb human rights with the military. So, even if Wiranto wants, I mean, it will be difficult because civil society in Indonesia has been very strong and especially Wiranto knows that that kind of things would be unpopular. But I think Wiranto will not use the military to, again to repress human rights in Indonesia. Again because of not because of principles, but because of pragmatic politics.

Now, what do you think is the main issue facing Indonesia at this moment, which the Presidential candidates should tackle right now?

AB: I think the main issue is to have a strong leadership. Strong does not mean authoritarian& so, a strong leadership that is respected by the people, but at the same time, democracy has to be developed and maintained as much as possible. And also an international recognition is important especially because Indonesia needs a lot of foreign aid to recover with the economic difficulties now Indonesia is facing.

How will the international community view these presidential candidates, especially countries like United States and Australia - the closest neighbour to Indonesia?

AB: Well, sometime politics is very pragmatic. At the moment, if Wiranto is not popular and even has very bad image in the international community, but if Wiranto is elected as President, I think that Australia, even East Timor and United States will change their positions, especially if Wiranto becomes an effective leader in Indonesia. So, I do not see any problem in the future because, again, politics have no permanent trends, but has only permanent interests.

With an array of presidential hopefuls in Indonesia at this moment, I mean, how would this affect the process of democracy in Indonesia?

AB: I think the process of democracy has been rolled on and I think democracy depends very much on the acts of civil society. At the moment, I think Indonesia has a strong civil society. So, I think democracy will be maintained in Indonesia, even if there is a military leader that becomes president, like Wiranto or Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono. So, I believe that democracy is not a matter of individuals, but a matter of the power of civil society. So, I think Indonesia will still maintain the democracy.

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