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Analysis »

Trans-Atlantic Cracks Re-appear Over NATO's Role in Iraq

Producer: Bharati Jagdish
First broadcast: 10 June 04, Radio Singapore International

Leaders of the Group-of-Eight member nations have ended their second day of meetings amid fresh disputes over Iraq.

US president George Bush sought support from allies for Iraq in the form of debt reduction and possible use of NATO forces.

But Mr Bush and French president, Jacques Chirac clashed over the issue of NATO's role in Iraq

Mr Chirac, a fierce critic of the war, said it wasn't NATO's place to intervene in Iraq.

For more on this, Bharati Jagdish (BJ) spoke to Dr Joseph Siracusa (JS) from the Griffith University in Brisbane, Australia.

JS: "The Germans and the French don't want to lose the leverage that they have. They do not want to forgive the Iraqi loans or debts whereas the United States does. It wants to start on a clean slate, but Iraq owes both Germany and France billions of dollars. They want that money back, but if they commit troops now, they will lose any leverage over the United States and the Iraqis. They don't want to give all their cards away right now. Also, there is still a very deep resentment within the French and German body politic right now about assisting the United States on the ground in Iraq. Anybody who watches the evening news knows that Iraq is very unstable. You have to remember that both the French and the German leaderships were very popular for a while in their own countries because of their refusal to cooperate with the United States in the run-up to the Iraq war. Can you imagine how popular they would be now if they didn't get involved in sending the ground troops right now? I think the reason they are holding back is for leverage about the Iraqi debts and for leverage within their own constituencies."

BJ: Mr Bush's security adviser, Condoleezza Rice, has said that Mr Bush had not really requested additional troops from NATO. What then does the Bush administration really want from NATO?

JS: "What it wants NATO to do is that it wants nations that belong to NATO to offer troops to the United Nations when it enters Iraq. These troops will be there to protect UN staff. The UN will use them as peacekeepers. Mr Bush wants very little from NATO as an alliance. He just wants lots of NATO countries to contribute to the United Nations after the handover so that pressure on the United States will be relieved."

BJ: The French have said that they would only consider Nato involvement in Iraq if the Iraqi government requests it. Is the Iraqi government likely to ask for this?

JS: "I think the Iraqi government might ask for NATO help, but I don't think the United States would want to give up its upper-hand in Iraq. If Iraqis themselves asked for NATO troops, the US would have to cut a deal with Baghdad and NATO. It would become a situation that would call for tripartite diplomacy. I don't think the United States or Britain would be too interested in allowing any Baghdad government to cut a separate deal with NATO."

BJ: On a related note, the G-8 meeting also launched an initiative for political and economic reform in the Middle East and North Africa - the Greater Middle East Initiative - which also alludes to the settlement of the Palestinian- Israeli conflict. This initiative has been criticized by many in the Arab world where people see it as a Western-imposed concept that may not go down very well in the region. What's your assessment of its potential success?

JS: "The potential of success is very little. It's just one of these motherhood statements that comes out of these meetings. People in the Middle East who have these difficult problems are looking for very practical solutions and neither the US not anyone else has been able to effect any positive change. People at these large meetings are not really interested in getting down to practical matters. Actually the Palestinian-Israeli conflict can be solved if the United States and its allies want to support an Israel that keeps its hands off Palestine and a Palestine that keeps its hands off Israel. This is the problem and until you solve this problem between the Israelis and the Palestinians, there's very, very little anybody can do. But ultimately, the solution lies with the Israelis and the Palestinians. If they don't work it out, there's very little anybody else can do. Nothing can be imposed on them without committing a half a million troops and of course, that would inflame the Islamic and the Arab world."

BJ: The US has been talking about installing democracy in the region for a long time, saying that Iraq would be catalyst for bringing democracy and human rights to the Middle East region. But have they ever talked about how exactly they plan to do this?

JS: "No, not really. This is a bit of a pipe-dream. In many ways, the genius of American politics is that it doesn't travel very well. You can just impose American political institutions and practices on the Middle East. Iraq and Afghanistan, while they will make progress towards some form of democracy, they still have to deal with clansmen and tribes and hundreds of years, if not thousands of years of tradition. It'll be a different kind of democracy. I think when we talk about democracy it will have to come from the people of that region and adapted to their needs. You can't impose this on them. It has to be an organic process and that will take many, many years."

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