Advance GDP Estimates for First Quarter 2003

Advance estimates show that gross domestic product (GDP) in first quarter 2003 increased by 1.5 per cent, in real terms, over the same period in 2002. On an annualised quarter-on-quarter basis, real GDP rose by 0.7 per cent, compared with a growth of 0.4 per cent in the previous quarter.

The manufacturing sector is estimated to have grown by 5.5 per cent. The moderation in growth can be attributed mainly to slower activity in the electronics industry. The construction sector, on the other hand, is estimated to have contracted by 10 per cent due to the sluggish property market.

Services-producing industries are estimated to have grown by 0.7 per cent. Almost all services sectors registered poorer performance due to uncertainties in economic conditions.

Gross Domestic Product at 1995 Market Prices
(* Advance Estimates)
(Percentage change over corresponding period of previous year)
  1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 2002 1Q03*
Overall GDP -1.5 3.8 3.8 3.0 2.2 1.5
Manufacturing -4.7 13.5 15.5 9.9 8.3 5.5
Construction -8.8 -11.1 -11.5 -11.9 -10.8 -10.3
Services-Producing Industries 0.6 1.7 1.6 1.9 1.5 0.7

The advance GDP estimates for first quarter 2003 were computed largely from the first two months' data (i.e. January and February 2003), as well as data (where available) and estimates for March. They are intended as an early indication of the GDP growth in the quarter, and will be revised when comprehensive data are available. The preliminary GDP estimates for the quarter, including sectoral performances, sources of growth, inflation, employment and productivity, will be released in May 2003 in the Economic Survey of Singapore.


MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY
10 April 2003

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