Advance GDP Estimates for Fourth Quarter 2003

The Singapore economy registered good growth in the fourth quarter of 2003, supported by improved performances of both the goods-producing and services-producing industries.

Advance estimates show that gross domestic product (GDP) in the quarter expanded by 3.7 per cent, in real terms, over the same period in 2002.

On an annualised quarter-on-quarter basis, real GDP grew by 7.9 per cent, after a brisk 17 percent expansion in the previous quarter.

Gross Domestic Product at 1995 Market Prices
(*Advance Estimates)
(Percentage change over corresponding period of previous year)
  4Q02 2002 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03* 2003
Overall GDP 3.0 2.2 1.6 -3.7 1.8 3.7 0.8
Goods-Producing Industries:
Manufacturing 9.9 8.3 6.2 -6.4 3.3 7.5 2.5
Construction -11.9 -10.8 -14.4 -9.0 -9.1 -8.9 -10.4
Services-Producing Industries 1.9 1.5 0.9 -2.8 1.8 3.2 0.8

The healthy external environment underpinned economic growth in the fourth quarter.

In the final months of 2003, growth in the major developed economies and the regional economies benefited both the manufacturing and services sectors in Singapore.

The manufacturing sector is estimated to have expanded by 7.5 per cent in the fourth quarter, buoyed by increased production of semiconductors, disk drives and pharmaceutical products .

The electronics and biomedicals clusters showed strong growth.

Performance of the other manufacturing clusters also improved from the previous quarter.

Activity in the construction sector showed few signs of a pick-up.

The sector is estimated to have contracted by 8.9 per cent in the fourth quarter.

The services-producing industries are estimated to have grown by 3.2 per cent, largely due to the continued strength of entrepot trade, motor vehicle sales and financial services.

Stronger external trade and increased sales of motor vehicles underpinned growth in the wholesale and retail trade sector.

Financial services were boosted by increased activities in the ACU, foreign exchange and fund management segments.

For 2003 as a whole, the economy is estimated to have grown by 0.8 per cent in real terms.

The manufacturing sector and services-producing industries expanded by 2.5 per cent and 0.8 per cent respectively while the construction sector contracted by 10 per cent.

The preliminary GDP estimates for the quarter and the whole year 2003, including sectoral performances, sources of growth, inflation, employment and productivity, will be released in February 2004 in the Economic Survey of Singapore.

MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY
2 January 2004

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