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Speech
by Deputy Prime Minister and Chairman, Monetary Authority
of Singapore Lee Hsien Loong at the Singapore Investment Forum
26
Sep 2003
I am happy to join you today at the Singapore Investment Forum,
which also marks the launch of the Wealth Management Institute
(WMI).
This
symposium takes place at an opportune time. Economic prospects
for East Asia are appreciably brighter than six months ago.
Asia now faces a more favourable external environment with
the end of the Iraq war, the abatement of SARS, and budding
recovery in the G3 economies, particularly the US and Japan.
Domestically, East Asian economies are enjoying a consumption
boom, and governments continue to run accommodative policies.
Benign weather has boosted agricultural output. Most East
Asian economies are expecting better growth this and next
year. Singapore was affected by SARS this year, but we expect
growth to be firmer from the last quarter of 2003 onwards.
Global
investors and financial intermediaries are paying attention
to the region again. Asian stock markets have risen by more
than 30 percent from their lows earlier this year. Following
the Asian Crisis, excesses have been trimmed and company operations
streamlined, making valuations more attractive. The IPO markets
are also active, particularly in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan
and Singapore. These four countries have raised almost US$14
billion from IPOs for the first eight months of 2003, as compared
with less than US$10 billion for the whole of 2002.
In
the longer term, economic growth, high savings rates and a
youthful population throughout large parts of Asia offer attractive
prospects. Despite its problems, Asia is the world's fastest
growing region, and the fastest growing wealth management
market.
Against
this regional backdrop, what is Singapore's role? I believe
that we have the potential to be one of the key financial
nodes of a rising Asia ? a window to global and regional financial
markets, useful both to Asians investing worldwide, and to
global investors participating in Asia's growth. We can be
a global centre for wealth management activities.
Singapore's
Approach - Ready For The Future
Even before the Asian Crisis, Singapore saw that the world
was already changing, and that we needed to change our model
of doing business. The key change is globalization, which
affects us in multiple ways.
First, we are totally connected to the global financial system.
Information is transmitted worldwide instantaneously, through
satellite TV and the Internet. Whatever happens in Wall Street
during our night hours is felt immediately the next day in
Singapore when our markets open.
Second,
capital flows across borders and continents with great ease.
Funds can gush in, and can also stampede out.
Third, competition has become more intense. Global financial
institutions are consolidating through merger and acquisitions,
in order to better exploit economies of scale. They are also
rearranging their global operations, consolidating key activities
into fewer centres to rationalise operations and reduce costs.
They are aggressively pursuing consumers, who are more sophisticated
and better informed.
Fourth,
with product and technological innovation, boundaries between
products are blurring. The transfer of insurance risk through
capital markets is one example. Traditional investment instruments
are also being married with derivatives to create alternative
solutions.
All these mean a more rapidly changing, unpredictable world
and a tougher operating environment. If we are not competitive,
we will find ourselves out of business very quickly. But even
if we stay in business, global players will come for our domestic
market share. There is no more comfort zone. If we rest on
our laurels thinking that we are a big fish in a small pond,
when the ocean tide comes in, bigger fish will come along
and
swallow us up.
That is why we have been preparing ourselves for life in the
open sea. Globalization is not new to Singapore. Since day
one of our independence, we knew that a small country like
Singapore depends on the world to survive. Asia's rise presents
many opportunities for us. But we must adapt ourselves to
this new environment, and manoeuvre around the new hazards
and obstacles. We may no longer be competitive in activities
which used to be our forte. But new activities and businesses
will come in, if we can spot the opportunities and lure them
here.
Remaking
the Singapore Economy
This is a challenge we face throughout the economy. In every
sector, we need to remake and restructure ourselves ? to move
away from activities which are becoming non viable, give up
practices which are no longer relevant, and to rebuild our
economy into something fitter, more productive and more relevant
to the world. This was what the Economic Review Committee
(ERC) sought to do.
The Government accepted the ERC's recommendations. It is a
holistic set of strategies, including strengthening our external
linkages, making ourselves more competitive and flexible,
encouraging entrepreneurship, promoting manufacturing and
services as our twin engines of growth, and developing our
human capital. With these strategies, we are pursuing the
remaking and renewal of the Singapore economy.
The financial services industry has undergone more than its
fair share of remaking. We are shifting our regulatory approach
to risk-focused supervision, which is more conducive to dynamism
and innovation. We have liberalised financial services substantially,
including retail banking, insurance and stock-broking activities.
We are broadening and deepening the debt market and promoting
asset management activities. As a result,
the financial industry has been restructured. Local banks
have consolidated and upgraded themselves, as has the stock
broking industry. A few thousand jobs were lost in the restructuring,
but we have gained a much leaner and stronger industry, better
able to hold its own against foreign competition as our markets
open up. At the same time because we made these changes we
have attracted new activities, which are creating new jobs
in the financial sector.
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