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Singapore $ underpinned by tax-free savings
By Mano Sabnani, Business and Financial Consultant
First published in TODAY
8 - 9 Mar 2003

For one, the move by the government to allow hassle-free repatriation of
foreign income which has been taxed at a headline rate of 15 per cent. This will
lead to more companies and individuals bringing money back home, thereby adding to the
liquidity in the Singapore dollar money market. Some of the funds could be
quickly redeployed but one suspects the net effect will still be to keep
local interest rates very low, relative to our neighbours..

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That would be appropriate for a financial centre which is trying its level
best to get more companies to set up regional or world headquarters here. Corporate tax rates have already been lowered and are heading for 20 per cent in a
couple of years. The move to make interest income sourced domestically tax-free will further enhance the attractions for individuals and companies to park their funds here.

The change is being made over a few years, due to POSB's current special status as the only bank to offer tax-free interest income on domestic deposits. But by 2005, this will change and all the banks will be on a level playing field, offering tax-free interest income on all savings and fixed deposits. That should underpin the Singapore dollar and keep interest rates relatively low.

But for POSB and its parent, DBS Bank, it could mean tougher competition. POSB, with its large branch network, will need to offer Singapore-dollar depositors rates that are competitive with those of OCBC and UOB. If it does not, it will see an erosion of its dominant position which will, in turn, make its extensive network seem unnecessary.

On the other hand, if POSB maintains its leading deposit gathering capability through attractive rates, the funds will have to be deployed profitably. Which means the DBS group needs to strengthen its lending competitiveness and marketing clout, in preparation for an even more competitive local banking scene in the years ahead.


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