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BofA hikes 2021 Brent price view by US$10/bbl on strong oil balances

BofA hikes 2021 Brent price view by US$10/bbl on strong oil balances

FILE PHOTO: An oil worker walks toward a drill rig after placing ground monitoring equipment in the vicinity of the underground horizontal drill in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant/File Photo

REUTERS: Bank of America (BofA) Global Research lifted its forecast for Brent crude oil prices for this year citing tighter supplies due to the Texas freeze and OPEC+ output curbs and unmatched global monetary stimulus, it said in a note dated Monday.

The bank now expects Brent crude oil to average US$60 per barrel in 2021, up from a previous estimate of US$50. BofA also forecasts West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude prices to average US$57 a barrel this year.

Brent prices could temporarily spike to US$70 a barrel in the second quarter of the year, the bank's analysts said in a note.

Brent crude was up 0.4per cent at US$65.51 a barrel by 1313 GMT, and U.S. crude rose 0.5per cent to US$62.00 a barrel.

Oil prices rose on Tuesday, helped by the likely easing of COVID-19 lockdowns globally, positive economic forecasts and lower output as U.S. supplies were slow to return after the deep freeze in Texas shut down crude production.

"The big Texas freeze in the past week should reduce global inventories by an additional 50 million barrels, further supporting (oil) prices," BofA said.

The bank also said Saudi Arabia's additional, voluntary oil output cuts in February and March and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) holding production steady were also supportive.

OPEC+'s supply deal that extends into the first quarter has removed an extra 180 million barrels from the market, creating more spare capacity, they said.

However, BofA noted the biggest short-term downside risk to oil prices may come from a new Iran deal, which could bring 2 million bpd into the market in short order.

(Reporting by Nakul Iyer in Bengaluru; editing by David Evans)

Source: Reuters


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