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Dollar slips after Powell embraces tapering, holds on rate hikes

Dollar slips after Powell embraces tapering, holds on rate hikes

FILE PHOTO: A U.S. dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken May 26, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

NEW YORK :The dollar slid on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated in a highly anticipated speech that the U.S. central bank could start tapering its massive support to the economy could start by year's end, which was not as fast as many in the market had assumed.

Powell said there had been clear progress toward maximum employment and he believed that if the U.S. economy improved as anticipated, "it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year."

But Powell told the Fed's annual Jackson Hole symposium the timing and pace of tapering should not be construed as a signal for when interest rates will begin to rise. The speech showed Powell has not adopted the hawkish stance of some Fed officials, said Gregory Anderson, global head of FX strategy at BMO Capital Markets.

"It's pretty clear that if you were worried about the timeline, that we announce in September that we're going to taper starting Oct. 1, that's not there in this speech," Anderson said.

"It's not as bad as feared based on the most extreme of the hawks," he added.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback's performance against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.39per cent to 92.6760.

The euro rose 0.37per cent to US$1.1794, while the yen fell 0.24per cent at US$109.8200.

After minutes of the Fed's policy-setting meeting in July were released last week, the dollar advanced because most market participants anticipated tapering to begin this year.

Powell was clear to detach tapering from "the rate liftoff," or raising interest rates, said David Petrosinelli, senior trader at Insperex in New York. "He was very clear to delineate that."

The dollar fell as market participants sharply lowered expectations for the Fed’s long-term tightening trajectory, said Karl Schamotta, director Of global product and market strategy at Cambridge Global Payments in Toronto.

The dollar began to retreat about 15 minutes before Powell spoke, after James Bullard, president of the St. Louis Fed, reiterated his hawkish view that tapering should begin soon and end by next year's first quarter. [nS0N2O301G}

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 3.4 basis points to trade at 1.3104per cent. On Thursday yields jumped to 1.375per cent, the highest since Aug. 12.

The New Zealand dollar dipped slightly after Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced that a lockdown against COVID-19 in Auckland is likely to remain in place for another two weeks.

The Swedish crown was flat at 8.7070 after mixed economic data.

The Canadian dollar rose 0.56per cent to 1.2612 versus the U.S. dollar. Brent futures, the international benchmark for crude, rose US$1.63 to settle at US$72.70 a barrel and gained 11.5per cent for the week.

Marc Chandler, managing director at BK Asset Management, said the Canadian currency generally takes its cues from oil, risk with the S&P 500 as a proxy and interest rate differentials.

"The Canadian dollar's strength today is a reflection not so much of Canada, but what's happening in the U.S. and the market takeaway from Powell's speech," Chandler said.


Currency bid prices at 3:02PM (1902 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Close Change



Dollar index 92.6760 93.0530 -0.39per cent 2.995per cent +93.1830 +92.6280

Euro/Dollar US$1.1794 US$1.1751 +0.37per cent -3.46per cent +US$1.1802 +US$1.1735

Dollar/Yen 109.8200 110.0850 -0.24per cent +6.29per cent +110.2600 +109.7950

Euro/Yen 129.52 129.36 +0.12per cent +2.05per cent +129.7400 +129.1600

Dollar/Swiss 0.9115 0.9180 -0.71per cent +3.02per cent +0.9199 +0.9107

Sterling/Doll US$1.3768 US$1.3703 +0.49per cent +0.78per cent +US$1.3781 +US$1.3679


Dollar/Canadi 1.2619 1.2685 -0.51per cent -0.90per cent +1.2708 +1.2607


Aussie/Dollar US$0.7311 US$0.7238 +1.02per cent -4.96per cent +US$0.7317 +US$0.7222

Euro/Swiss 1.0748 1.0786 -0.35per cent -0.55per cent +1.0797 +1.0747

Euro/Sterling 0.8564 0.8578 -0.16per cent -4.17per cent +0.8589 +0.8560

NZ US$0.7010 US$0.6948 +0.92per cent -2.35per cent +US$0.7018 +US$0.6934


Dollar/Norway 8.7165 8.8425 -1.46per cent +1.47per cent +8.8700 +8.7130

Euro/Norway 10.2828 10.3893 -1.03per cent -1.76per cent +10.4216 +10.2798

Dollar/Sweden 8.6398 8.7040 -0.39per cent +5.41per cent +8.7219 +8.6341

Euro/Sweden 10.1910 10.2314 -0.39per cent +1.14per cent +10.2517 +10.1860

(Reporting by Herbert Lash; Additional reporting by Karen Brettell and Saqib Ahmed in New York, Joice Alves in London, and Hideyuki Sano and Tomo Uetake in Tokyo; Editing by Dan Grebler, David Holmes and David Gregorio)

Source: Reuters


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