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Dollar steadies after bounce off of one-month low

Dollar steadies after bounce off of one-month low

FILE PHOTO: An employee of the Korea Exchange Bank counts one hundred U.S. dollar notes during a photo opportunity at the bank's headquarters in Seoul April 28, 2010. REUTERS/Jo Yong-Hak

NEW YORK : The dollar steadied on Monday afternoon after bouncing off a one-month low as traders weighed the prospects of higher interest rates for different currencies and considered how coming economic data and central bank comments could impact their positions.

The upward move came at the expense of the euro, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. The change seemed to indicate that the market had taken the dollar down too much recently on expectations that inflation outside the U.S. will force up interest rates for other currencies faster than for the greenback.

The dollar index against major currencies steadied with a gain of nearly 0.2per cent for the day after turning up from a one-month low in early trading. Before the turn, the index had lost 1per cent over two weeks.

Threats to current positions could come on Thursday from the European Central Bank and from U.S. economic data and from U.S. and European inflation data on Friday, as well as a meeting of the Bank of Canada on Wednesday.

The U.S. Federal Reserve meets next week.

"There's so much event risk on tap this week and the dollar has underperformed over the last two weeks that the market's starting to buy back the dollar," said Joseph Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions.

"What had dulled the dollar's shine of late is this notion that other central banks appear poised to raise rates before the Fed," he said.

At one point the dollar index was up 0.4per cent on the day as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose. The dollar eased off and the 10-year yield fell back, and was last around 1.63per cent and little changed for the day. Crude oil, too, climbed and then eased for the day.

The euro lost 0.3per cent to US$1.1613.

The European Central Bank meeting on Thursday is not expected to make big news but comments from the bank could shift views on how much inflationary pressures could impact interest rates.

"There is no way that they (ECB policymakers) can't acknowledge that inflation has run higher, but also they do not want to get dragged into a game of expectations given the ECB's dovish proclivities," said Jeremy Thomson-Cook, chief economist at payments firm Equals Money.

"Alongside inflation and growth data due this week, we will be able to mark the European economy a lot better against its UK and U.S. counterparts, something we expect to continue to allow for additional euro weakness moving forward."

The dollar chalked up gains versus the Japanese yen, rising 0.2per cent to 113.685 yen. The Bank of Japan meets later this week. But like the ECB, it is not expected to shift from its dovish policy stance.

Thursday's U.S. gross domestic product figures - if they show an expected slowdown - could take some pressure off the Fed even while inflation runs relatively hot.

Cryptocurrency with bitcoin was up 3per cent at US$62,997 after last week reaching US$67,000.


Currency bid prices at 3:00PM (1900 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change


Dollar index

93.8000 93.6620 +0.16per cent 4.244per cent +93.9690 +93.4830


US$1.1613 US$1.1646 -0.28per cent -4.95per cent +US$1.1666 +US$1.1591


113.6850 113.5050 +0.16per cent +10.03per cent +113.9150 +113.5050


132.01 132.17 -0.12per cent +4.01per cent +132.6000 +131.8700


0.9195 0.9162 +0.37per cent +3.94per cent +0.9202 +0.9150


US$1.3770 US$1.3756 +0.11per cent +0.79per cent +US$1.3791 +US$1.3742


1.2385 1.2368 +0.14per cent -2.74per cent +1.2400 +1.2339


US$0.7496 US$0.7470 +0.33per cent -2.57per cent +US$0.7505 +US$0.7465


1.0676 1.0666 +0.09per cent -1.21per cent +1.0692 +1.0659


0.8433 0.8464 -0.37per cent -5.64per cent +0.8467 +0.8428


Dollar/Dollar US$0.7168 US$0.7150 +0.26per cent -0.18per cent +US$0.7177 +US$0.7130


8.3505 8.3530 -0.05per cent -2.77per cent +8.3710 +8.3205


9.6990 9.7326 -0.35per cent -7.34per cent +9.7341 +9.6891


8.6057 8.5625 +0.11per cent +4.99per cent +8.6271 +8.5628


9.9945 9.9838 +0.11per cent -0.81per cent +10.0064 +9.9792

(Reporting by David Henry in New York and Tommy Wilkes in London. Editing by Peter Graff and Chizu Nomiyama)

Source: Reuters


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