Japan exports seen soaring in June, consumer inflation tame: Reuters poll
Japan's exports likely soared in June thanks to robust global demand for machinery and technology-related goods and as shipments rebounded sharply from last year's pandemic-induced slump, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.
TOKYO: Japan's exports likely soared in June thanks to robust global demand for machinery and technology-related goods and as shipments rebounded sharply from last year's pandemic-induced slump, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.
Exports jumped 46.2per cent in June from a year earlier, the fourth straight month of double-digit gains, with the annual export growth rate largely skewed by a COVID-driven plunge in June 2020. Export growth has remained strong even as a global chip shortage has weighed on Japan's car output and shipments.
With consumer spending weakening due to a renewed state of coronavirus emergency curbs in Tokyo, policymakers are counting on external demand to pick up the slack in the world's third largest economy.
Japan's economy shrank an annualised 3.9per cent in January-March and likely barely grew in the second quarter, as the pandemic took a toll on service spending.
Core consumer inflation likely picked up just a tad in June, according to the Reuters poll, underscoring the challenge the Bank of Japan (BOJ) faces as it tries to meet its elusive 2per cent inflation target.
Investors will keep a close eye on the release of trade data on July 20 at 2350 GMT and consumer prices on July 19 at 2330 GMT after the BOJ stuck to its massive monetary stimulus on Friday.
The export growth in June comes after exports soared 49.6per cent in May, the sharpest monthly increase since April 1980. They plunged 26.2per cent in June of 2020.
Imports likely jumped 29.0per cent year-on-year last month, which would result in a trade surplus of 460.0 billion yen (US$4.18 billion), the poll showed.
The core consumer price index (CPI), which includes oil products but excludes volatile fresh food prices, is expected to have risen 0.2per cent in June from a year earlier, after a 0.1per cent increase in May, the Reuters poll showed.
The BOJ maintained its massive monetary stimulus at its policy review that ended on Friday, keeping its policy interest rate at minus 0.1per cent and the 10-year Japanese government bond yield target at around 0per cent.
(Reporting by Tetsushi Kajimoto; Editing by Ana Nicolaci da Costa)