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Valuations of Asian stocks hit lowest since March 2020

Valuations of Asian stocks hit lowest since March 2020

FILE PHOTO: People pass by an electronic screen showing Japan's Nikkei share price index inside a conference hall in Tokyo, Japan June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Issei Kato

Valuations of Asian equities dropped for a third straight month in June and hit their lowest since the start of the pandemic, as regional equity markets plunged on concerns over a global recession and aggressive rate hikes by major central banks.

The MSCI Asia-Pacific index's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) stood at 12.1 at the end of last month, which was the region's cheapest valuation since March 2020, Refinitiv data showed.

GRAPHIC: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zdvxoemyapx/MSCIper cent20Asia-Pacificper cent20andper cent20Worldper cent20index'sper cent20PE.jpg

"Concerns about earnings downgrades and rising cost of capital have driven down valuations, though earnings estimates, we feel, are close to bottoming out," said Manishi Raychaudhuri, Asia-Pacific equity strategist at BNP Paribas.

Analysts downgraded the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index's forward 12-month earnings estimates by 2.97 per cent in June, compared with a 0.85 per cent upgrade in May.

The P/E ratios of South Korean, Hong Kong and Taiwan equities were at 8.48, 9.94 and 10.02, respectively, the lowest in the region.

GRAPHIC: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/lbvgnxkrapq/Breakdownper cent20byper cent20countryper cent20forper cent20Asia-Pacificper cent20equities'per cent20valuations.jpg

Meanwhile, Chinese shares' P/E ratio surged to 10.08 from 9.38 a month ago, as COVID-19 restrictions eased.

"Unlike the rest of the global economy that we expect to slow down in 2023, China's economy/corporate earnings will likely see a recovery aided by greater support in the form of fiscal/monetary policies," said Nomura in a report this week.

The Shanghai Composite Index gained 6.66 per cent last month, despite the MSCI Asia-Pacific index and the MSCI World index's steep losses of 6.78 per cent and 8.44 per cent, respectively.

The P/E ratios for Indian, Thai and Malaysian equities stood at 18.02, 14.54 and 13.71, respectively.

"The fact that Asian earnings estimates have already been downgraded, and therefore are likely to remain relatively stable relative to their DM counterparts, convinces us that the "cheap looking" valuations are actually cheap," BNP Paribas' Raychaudhuri said.

GRAPHIC: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/lgvdwbdmdpo/Breakdownper cent20byper cent20sectorper cent20forper cent20Asia-Pacificper cent20equities'per cent20valuations.jpg

Source: Reuters

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