Oil prices drop sharply as supply concerns resurface

Oil prices drop sharply as supply concerns resurface

Oil prices dip Nov 20
Oil prices dropped sharply on Tuesday (Nov 20), snapping a four-day winning streak amid concerns about rising global supplies as OPEC weighs a possible cut in production. (Photo: AFP/David McNew)

LONDON: Oil prices dropped sharply on Tuesday (Nov 20), snapping a four-day winning streak amid concerns about rising global supplies as OPEC weighs a possible cut in production.

Growing fears of an economic slowdown, which saw global stock markets tumble again, added further pressure on crude.

Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at US$63.65 a barrel at 1535 GMT, down US$3.14 , or 4.7 per cent, from their last close.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at US$54.33 per barrel, down US$2.87, or 5.02 per cent.

Oil prices are around a quarter below their recent peaks in early October, weighed down by surging supply, especially from the United States, as well as a slowdown in global trade.

US crude production has soared almost 25 per cent this year, to a record 11.7 million barrels per day (bpd).

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is pushing for a supply cut of 1 million to 1.4 million bpd. On Tuesday, the OPEC envoy for the United Arab Emirates said it was very likely the group would reduce its output but the exact level had yet to be decided.

"We expect OPEC to agree to a supply cut at its next official meeting on 6 December," French bank BNP Paribas said.

The bank added that it expected Brent to recover to US$80 per barrel before the year-end.

"In 2019, we expect WTI to average US$69 per barrel and Brent US$76 per barrel," BNP said.

The International Energy Agency (IEA), however, warned OPEC and other producers of the "negative implications" of supply cuts, with many analysts fearing a spike in crude prices could erode consumption.

UNCERTAINTY

The head of the IEA warned of the effects of geopolitical instability on prices.

"We are entering an unprecedented period of uncertainty in oil markets," Fatih Birol told a conference in Norway.

Amid the uncertainty, financial traders have become wary of oil markets, seeing further downside risk to prices from the growth in US shale production as well as the deteriorating economic outlook.

Portfolio managers have sold the equivalent of 553 million barrels of crude and fuels in the last seven weeks, the largest reduction over a comparable period since at least 2013.

Funds now hold a net long position of just 547 million barrels, less than half the recent peak of 1.1 billion at the end of September, and down from a record 1.484 billion in January.

Source: Reuters/hs

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