No clear link between schools reopening and COVID-19 surge, global study finds

No clear link between schools reopening and COVID-19 surge, global study finds

FILE PHOTO: York Suburban schools resume with hybrid in-person and online classes
FILE PHOTO: Mrs Mitchell's senior English class is socially distant and at half-capacity at York Suburban High School in York, Pennsylvania, US, September 18, 2020. Picture taken September 18, 2020. (Photo: REUTERS/Rachel Wisniewski)

LONDON: Widespread reopening of schools after lockdowns and vacations is generally not linked to rising COVID-19 rates, a study of 191 countries has found, but lockdown closures will leave a 2020 "pandemic learning debt" of 300 billion missed school days.

The analysis, by the Geneva-based independent educational foundation Insights for Education (IfE), said 84 per cent of those 300 billion days would be lost by children in poorer countries, and warned that 711 million pupils were still out of school.

"It's been assumed that opening schools will drive infections, and that closing schools will reduce transmission, but the reality is much more complex," said IfE's founder and chief executive Randa Grob-Zakhary.

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The vast majority - 92 per cent - of countries that are through their first wave of COVID-19 infections have started to reopen school systems, even as some are seeing a second surge.

IfE found that 52 countries that sent students back to school in August and September – including France and Spain – saw infection rates rise during the vacation compared to when they were closed.

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In Britain and Hungary, however, infection levels dropped after initial school closures, remained low during the holidays, and began rising after reopening.

Full analysis of these 52 countries found no firm correlation between school status and infections - pointing to a need to consider other factors, IfE said.

"The key now is to learn from those countries that are reopening effectively against a backdrop of rising infections," Grob-Zakhary said.

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The report said 44 countries have kept schools closed.

It found countries are developing strategies for schools during the pandemic - including some, such as Italy, France, which order temporary school closures on a case-by-case basis.

Other measures include policies on masks, class rotations and combining remote with in-school lessons.

"This first real global test highlights what school life looks like in a COVID-world," said Grob-Zakhary. "Understanding how countries undergoing a massive second wave are dealing with this new reality in the classroom is essential to guide future reopening decisions and to help schools remain open."

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Source: Reuters/ta

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