SILVER SPRING, Maryland: Consumer confidence ticked down slightly in May but remains nearly as high as its been since the pandemic began.
The Conference Board reported on Tuesday (May 25)that its consumer confidence index fell to 117.2 from April's 117.5 reading, the highest level since February of 2020, just before the pandemic began.
The present situation index, based on consumers assessment of current business and labuor market conditions, rose to 144.3 from 131.9. Although the percentage of consumers surveyed claiming that business conditions are “good” fell slightly from 19.4 per cent to 18.7 per cent, those claiming conditions are “bad” declined more, from 24.5 per cent in April to 21.8 per cent in May.
Consumers’ assessment of the labour market also improved as the percentage of consumers saying jobs are “plentiful” climbed from 36.3 per cent to 46.8 per cent. Those saying that jobs are hard to get fell to 12.2 per cent from 14.7 per cent. Unemployment claims have fallen to pandemic lows each week for the past the month.
The Conference Board's expectations index, based on consumers' short-term views for income, business and the job market, fell to 99.1 in May, from 107.9 in April.
Consumers' expectations for the future may be less bright because the tailwind from Americans spending their US$1,400 stimulus checks could be fading. Earlier this month, the Commerce Department reported that retail sales in the US flattened out in April after soaring in March, when many Americans received those government checks and boosted their spending.
Economists have said that rising confidence should bolster overall economic growth as consumers, who account for 70 per cent of economic activity, spend more as lockdown restrictions are eased or abandoned altogether in many places.
Recent government data shows that the nation’s gross domestic product - its total output of goods and services - is expected to continue to rise. Following a 4.3 per cent gain in the fourth quarter of 2020, the government’s first estimate of the January-March quarter came in at a brisk 6.4 per cent annual rate. Some economists expect even bigger growth in the current April-June quarter - an annual pace of 10 per cent or more - driven by a surge in people traveling, shopping, dining out and resuming their pre-pandemic spending habits.
That optimism is on full display in US markets with five of the six top gainers on the S&P 500 carrying the tickers of airlines or cruise companies.
Shares in United Airlines rose more than 5 per cent Tuesday after the airline said ticketed yields from casual travellers are near pre-pandemic levels. Shares in Delta Air Lines jumped 2 per cent after the company said bookings have been better than expected.