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JP Morgan raises long-term gold price forecast to $4,500

JP Morgan raises long-term gold price forecast to $4,500

Gold grain is seen before being melted into 1kg gold bars during a refining process at AGR (African Gold Refinery) in Entebbe, Uganda, October 4, 2018. Picture taken October 4, 2018. To match Insight AFRICA-GOLD/REFINERIES REUTERS/Baz Ratner

25 Feb 2026 11:06PM

Feb 25 : JP Morgan raised its long-term forecast for gold prices to $4,500 an ounce on Wednesday while keeping its 2026 year-end forecast at $6,300.

Spot gold has risen by about 20 per cent this year, hitting a three-week high of $5,248.89 an ounce on Tuesday. It hit a record peak of $5,594.82 on January 29.

That followed a 2025 surge of more than 64 per cent in the metal widely regarded as a safe-haven investment.

The bank noted that it remains firmly bullish on gold prices through 2026 and still sees a continued structural diversification trend into the metal, which it says has further room to run.

It added that it forecasts enough demand from central banks and investors this year to ultimately push gold prices to $6,300 an ounce by the end of 2026.

Geopolitical risks, the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate easing cycle, central bank buying and flows into bullion-backed exchange-traded funds have driven gold to multiple record highs over the past year.

Low interest rates tend to make non-yielding gold a more attractive proposition for investors.

Meanwhile, a Bank of America (BofA) note said it sees a pathway for gold to hit $6,000 an ounce over the next 12 months.

The bank added that it is concerned that silver prices could pull back further in the near term but could rise again above $100 an ounce this year.

Spot silver was trading around $90.70 per ounce on Wednesday, down from a record $121.64 touched in late January. 

Source: Reuters
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