Stocks pull back, oil choppy as US-Iran peace deal remains in flux
Futures-options traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange's NYSE American (AMEX) in New York City, U.S., May 5, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
May 7 : U.S. and European stocks slipped on Thursday, as oil prices swung between gains and losses in volatile trading with investors still uncertain about peace negotiations between the U.S. and Iran.
On Wall Street, major stock indexes pulled back slightly a day after strong chipmaker earnings pushed them to multiple records. The S&P 500 fell 0.4 per cent, the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.1 per cent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.6 per cent.
Oil prices ultimately settled lower after a report said Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifted restrictions on U.S. use of their airspace and military bases, allowing Washington to restart operations to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz as early as this week.
Brent crude futures settled down 1.2 per cent or $1.21 at $100.06 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled down 0.28 per cent or 27 cents at $94.81. Both benchmarks had earlier declined by as much as $5 a barrel on optimism that Washington and Tehran were moving toward a limited, temporary agreement to halt their conflict.
Europe's STOXX 600 finished 1.1 per cent lower, having jumped 2.2 per cent on Wednesday, while MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan hit a fresh all-time high, up 1.6 per cent. Japan's Nikkei crossed 62,000 for the first time.
MSCI's All-Country World Index ticked down 0.1 per cent, holding around record highs.
OIL RISK
"Oil volatility may be having less of an effect on the stock market’s day-to-day performance, but its longer-term impact on inflation is still an open question," Daniel Skelly, head of Morgan Stanley's Wealth Management Market Research & Strategy Team, wrote in a note on Thursday.
Brent is still around 40 per cent above its late-February level, when the war began, while 10-year Treasury yields have surged - a reminder of the strain higher energy costs continue to put on the global economy. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields rose by 2.8 basis points to 4.382 per cent.
"Certainly the clock is ticking towards a point ... when the pace at which oil inventory drawdowns at the current pace become unsustainable and energy prices jump materially," Investec market strategists wrote in a note on Thursday.
Rocketing oil prices whacked global markets in March but a fragile ceasefire and prospect of a deal have spurred a risk-on rally since April that has been fueled by strong tech earnings reports.
S&P COMPANIES SET FOR ROBUST PROFIT GROWTH
S&P 500 companies are on track for their strongest profit growth in more than four years, although Intel and Advanced Micro Devices declined on Thursday, paring gains from earlier this week.
"U.S. earnings confirm a broad-based profit boom - record EPS (earnings per share) beats, all-time-high margins and sharply upgraded '26 growth expectations," Manish Kabra, a market strategist with Societe Generale, wrote in a client note on Thursday.
Investors await the U.S. non-farm payrolls report on Friday, with jobs expected to have increased in April by 62,000 after rebounding 178,000 in March, a Reuters survey of economists shows.
In currency markets, the euro was little changed at $1.174. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six units, was also flat.
The yen remained in the spotlight after spikes in recent sessions prompted market speculation that Japan had intervened to support the long-battered currency.
The yen ticked down 0.24 per cent at 156.76 per dollar, having hit a 10-week high of 155 on Wednesday.
