Global shares and dollar higher as markets eye Fed rate cuts
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 1, 2025. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
NEW YORK/LONDON, Dec 4 : Global shares and the dollar on Thursday were mostly higher as traders await a Fed interest rate cut.
U.S. stocks finished mostly higher in a choppy trading session, with the benchmark S&P 500 and Nasdaq gaining while the Dow ended slightly lower. Consumer staples, healthcare, and materials stocks suffered the most losses, while industrials, technology and communications services drove gains.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.07 per cent, the S&P 500 rose 0.11 per cent and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.22 per cent.
In Europe, the STOXX 600 was up 0.45 per cent and still headed for a modest weekly gain. London's FTSE 100 index was up 0.19 per cent while Germany's DAX gained 0.32 per cent. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 0.24 per cent.
Japanese stocks rallied sharply after an auction of government bonds drew strong demand from investors, which helped set the tone for the broader equity market. The Nikkei rose 2.33 per cent.
"After a 5 per cent pullback in late November, stocks have rebounded and are now trading at the pre-pullback levels and near all-time highs," said Michael Farr, chief executive of investment advisory firm Farr, Miller & Washington in Washington.
Data on Thursday appeared to assuage concerns of a sharp deterioration in U.S. labor market conditions. The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell to a more than three-year low of 191,000 last week.
That came after U.S. private payrolls data posted its biggest drop in more than two-and-a-half years, and following a survey of the services sector that showed activity held steady in November while hiring slowed.
"If they cut rates by a quarter of a point and then take a pause - which every Fed speaker has indicated, markets might be disappointed in the messaging. If they don't cut and say we're going to wait until the next meeting, markets will be disappointed there too," Farr said.
Fed funds futures are pricing a near 90 per cent chance of a quarter-point cut at the end of the Fed's next meeting on December 10, compared with an 83.4 per cent chance a week ago, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency's performance against six others, was up slightly by 0.17 per cent on the day, easing earlier losses and poised to end nine straight sessions of declines.
Oil prices rose, with Brent crude futures adding 0.94 per cent to settle at $63.26 while U.S. crude futures gained, settling up 1.22 per cent at $59.67.
US 10-YEAR TREASURY BOND YIELD UP
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond was last up 4.2 basis points at 4.1 per cent. The Financial Times reported on Wednesday that bond investors had expressed concerns to the U.S. Treasury that Kevin Hassett, a candidate to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair next year, could aggressively cut interest rates to align with President Donald Trump's preferences.
"I think there's purposeful timing by the Trump administration to announce the president's selection of a new Fed chairman that will be seen - correctly or not - as being more dovish around this meeting to appear as an antidote to the messaging," Farr said.
In Japan, the government's debt sale drew the strongest demand in more than six years, which helped soothe investor nerves about the country's long-term finances that have stoked similar worries about other economies.
The dollar was last down 0.08 per cent at 155.11 against the yen, which is heading for its largest weekly gain against the U.S. currency in over two months.
The yen got another boost from a Reuters report that the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in December with the government expected to tolerate such a decision, citing three government sources familiar with the deliberations.
Meanwhile, the yuan softened a touch, leaving the dollar up 0.21 per cent at 7.071 yuan in offshore trading in Hong Kong. The Chinese currency hit its strongest level against the dollar in more than a year on Wednesday.
Precious metals cooled after a recent hot streak. Gold was flat at $4,208.66 an ounce, while silver fell 2.32 per cent to $57.12 an ounce, after hitting a record high of $58.98 on Tuesday.
